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Government Policy Design

Including work on the fiscal theory of the price level.
Full details for all papers are on the main research page.


The Role of Dispersed Information in Maintaining Low Interest Rates (joint with Carlo Galli and Jason Hall) — Staff Report, Minneapolis Fed, no. 680

Monetary/Fiscal Interactions with Forty Budget Constraints (joint with Gherardo Caracciolo) — Working Paper, Minneapolis Fed, no. 788

A Monetary-Fiscal Theory of Sudden Inflations (joint with David S. Miller) — QJE, 2025

On the Mechanics of Fiscal Inflations (joint with Luca Benzoni and Jason Hall) — Quarterly Review, Minneapolis Fed, 2024

Shotgun Wedding: Fiscal and Monetary Policy (joint with Thomas J. Sargent) — Annual Review of Economics, 2020

Forward Guidance: Communication, Commitment, or Both?JME, 2019

Is Inflation Default? The Role of Information in Debt Crises (joint with Carlo Galli) — AER, 2019

The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level in a World of Low Interest Rates (joint with Wei Cui) — JEDC, 2018

Speculative Runs on Interest Rate Pegs (joint with Christopher Phelan) — JME, 2015

Fiscal Consequences of Paying Interest on Reserves (joint with Todd Messer) — Fiscal Studies, 2013

Tax Riots (joint with Christopher Phelan) — RES, 2008

Fiscal Theory of the Price LevelNew Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, 2008

Fiscal Policy and Price Stability: the Case of Italy 1992–98Chicago Fed Letter, 2006

Equilibrium and Government CommitmentJET, 2005

On the Irrelevance of Government Debt when Taxes are Distortionary (joint with Narayana Kocherlakota) — JME, 2004

Negative Nominal Interest RatesAER P&P, 2004

A Game-Theoretic View of the Fiscal Theory of the Price LevelEconometrica, 2002